Russia has said it will agree to a new Black Sea deal, but only if the United States orders President Volodymyr Zelensky to uphold it. This demand highlights the increasing role of the US in peace efforts. The potential deal could pave the way for a ceasefire in Ukraine, but only if the US exerts pressure on Ukraine to comply.
Russia’s Black Sea Deal Condition: US Involvement Essential
On Tuesday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made it clear that Russia will only sign a new Black Sea agreement if the US directs Ukrainian President Zelensky to honor it. Lavrov stated that Russia needs guarantees from Washington, not just Kyiv.
This stance comes after the collapse of a previous Black Sea deal in 2023. This deal had allowed Ukraine to export millions of tons of grain despite the ongoing war. Russia withdrew from the deal, blaming Western sanctions that affected its own exports.
The Collapse of the Previous Black Sea Deal
The earlier Black Sea deal, which was crucial for global grain exports, fell apart when Russia pulled out in 2023. Russia claimed that sanctions were damaging its food and fertilizer exports. Ukraine, in return, accused Russia of sabotaging the agreement.
Lavrov’s Call for US Pressure on Zelensky
Lavrov insists that any future deal will need guarantees from the United States. He said that only an order from Washington could ensure Ukraine’s commitment. He believes Russia cannot trust Kyiv without such an order, given past failures.
Lavrov also linked Ukraine’s actions to “terrorist attacks” and civilian infrastructure damage. He stated that the only way to stop such incidents is for Washington to directly influence Ukraine.
The Bigger Picture: Ceasefire Talks and Global Tensions
The Black Sea deal is more than just about shipping safety. It is part of a broader peace effort. Russia’s demand for US involvement suggests that Washington could be key in ending the war. However, it is unclear how much control the US will have over Zelensky’s decisions.
The US and Russian officials recently met in Saudi Arabia. The Black Sea deal was a key focus of these talks. However, Lavrov’s comments show that Russia wants more pressure on Ukraine before agreeing to a ceasefire.
A Potential Path Toward Peace?
Despite tensions, there is hope the Black Sea deal could lead to a larger ceasefire. Zelensky has shown openness to a limited energy ceasefire. However, he insists that any agreement must be well-documented and guaranteed by both sides.
As negotiations continue, the world is watching. Will the US help mediate a deal that ends the war? Or will Russia continue to demand more from Ukraine?
