Israel has recently approved a Gaza ceasefire deal, but the political landscape is fraught with deep divisions. The agreement, brokered in Qatar, promises a 42-day ceasefire. During this time, 33 hostages will be released in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. The Israeli military will also gradually withdraw from urban centers in Gaza, and humanitarian aid will surge.
However, the deal is not a permanent solution. After 42 days, 65 hostages will remain in Gaza, many feared dead. Negotiations for their release will begin only after the first phase of the truce.
Netanyahu’s Shift: From Rejection to Agreement
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has made a significant shift. He previously opposed similar ceasefire proposals, claiming Israel was on the brink of a “complete victory.” Yet, the deal he has now agreed to mirrors the very proposal he criticized. This agreement includes a phased ceasefire, withdrawal of Israeli forces, and the release of Palestinian prisoners—elements Netanyahu had once rejected.
Despite weakening Hamas, Israel has not achieved the promised victory. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken stated that Hamas has replenished its ranks nearly as quickly as it has lost militants.
Divisions Within Netanyahu’s Government
Netanyahu’s political allies are divided over the ceasefire deal. Itamar Ben Gvir, the national security minister, expressed his disapproval, stating his party, Jewish Power, would leave the coalition if the deal proceeds. Although Ben Gvir’s departure would not immediately topple the government, it highlights growing tensions within Netanyahu’s coalition.
Bezalel Smotrich, Israel’s finance minister and another far-right ally, has similar concerns. He wants to ensure that the ceasefire is temporary and that Israel resumes military action after the 42-day pause. If Smotrich withdraws from the government, it could destabilize Netanyahu’s coalition.
The Role of Yair Lapid and International Pressures
To save his government, Netanyahu may turn to Yair Lapid, leader of the opposition Yesh Atid party. Lapid has offered support in the legislature, but this also gives him leverage. He could trigger an election at any time, adding further pressure on Netanyahu.
International pressures also play a role. Former US President Donald Trump has taken credit for the ceasefire and called it “EPIC.” Netanyahu may feel compelled to keep the agreement to avoid alienating Trump’s administration.
